Evil-Ejector
0x83946fd2a83b4c0045a17a938ae0802dfaf58d66
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-88.13
Realised
$-3.10
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
260 shares @ 85.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$231.40
$8.45
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
230 shares @ 93.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$221.60
$7.46
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
220 shares @ 76.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.60
$36.42
- NO
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
148 shares @ 84.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.99
$13.32
- NO
Stripe IPO before 2027?
115 shares @ 87.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.19
$10.73
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
110 shares @ 91.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.89
$3.31
- NO
Databricks IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 89.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.50
$2.80
- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
100 shares @ 86.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.49
$5.10
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
100 shares @ 64.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.49
$18.10
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
90 shares @ 73.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.94
$9.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.66Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.14Jul 27, 15:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?$7.50Jul 24, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$2.20Jul 23, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$23.60Jul 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$5.09Jul 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$20.70Jul 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$8.70Jul 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?$5.10Jul 23, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Camavinga join Manchester United?$12.00Jul 23, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$0.91Jul 22, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$35.60Jul 21, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.