Inexperienced-Llama
0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$217.96
Total PnL
$2.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
97 shares @ 62.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$67.25
$7.25
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$40.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$24.61
$4.61
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
190 shares @ 10.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.25
$-0.75
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.41
$-3.58
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$6.56
$-0.64
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
15 shares @ 39.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.32
$-0.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0011h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.711d ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.701d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$40.462d ago
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$17.862d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$60.004d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- YIELD$0.0014d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $14.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 57d ago
- Last active
- 11h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
