Bland-Facelift
0x83d0a242863e16461ccac31bf64791a29c431a7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$39.04
Total PnL
$-9.23
Realised
$6.73
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 34.8¢·now 34.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.21
$0.01
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
24 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.78
$-0.48
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.72
$-1.37
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.65
$-0.95
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.01
$-2.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.21
$-0.34
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.24
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 44.8¢·now 36.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.81
$-0.43
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.39
$-0.01
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2.44May 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2.82May 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)$3.64May 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$4.37May 25, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.55May 25, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$6.25May 25, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.33May 25, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$5.14May 25, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?$5.09May 25, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.65May 25, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$4.62May 25, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.81May 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$3.26May 24, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.09May 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?$2.80May 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.40May 24, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.50May 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$4.51May 24, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.52May 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.34May 24, 11:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".