Delirious-Usage
0x83df868b8c09a080c54adfe98748148032f41b23
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.92
Total PnL
$-239.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
124 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 25?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- 150K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
68 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-22.00
- 110K
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $110k first?
52 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on August 29?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $108K September 8–14?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jul 15, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$4.62Feb 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$3.00Feb 21, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3.45Feb 19, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-14?$1.00Feb 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?$1.00Feb 12, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$2.78Feb 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?$2.00Feb 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?$1.00Feb 10, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.53Feb 10, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$3.03Feb 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$1.00Feb 8, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?$1.00Feb 8, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.00Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-02-05?$2.00Feb 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$1.33Feb 5, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$1.00Feb 4, 08:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.