Bumpy-Sculptural
0x83e0957834bb9da9fdea01db8d5b8f064d5392e0
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$156.30
Total PnL
$-28.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
123 shares @ 48.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$67.22
$7.22
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 71.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.59
$3.59
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
17 shares @ 87.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.10
$0.19
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
13 shares @ 37.1¢·now 43.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
13 shares @ 37.1¢·now 33.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
143 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?$10.0213h ago
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$10.0513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$10.0513h ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$13.7913h ago
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$19.7813h ago
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$17.122d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$16.932d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.008d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$10.008d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$5.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$23.4511d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$20.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$20.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$40.0046d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $16.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 186d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".