Enchanting-Cable
0x84a24e7950deda2f8a7fd8d53b71008ff26ac7cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$155.24
Total PnL
$-67.92
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
21 shares @ 6.0¢·now 38.1¢·exp Sep 15, 2026$7.85
$6.62
- YES
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?
91 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$6.35
$2.72
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
11 shares @ 6.0¢·now 50.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.38
$4.75
- YES
Will George Pickens play for New York Jets in 2026-27?
11 shares @ 6.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$4.74
$4.08
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
13 shares @ 5.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$4.29
$3.64
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.22
$0.20
- YES
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
16 shares @ 4.0¢·now 25.4¢·exp Jan 20, 2027$4.20
$3.54
- NO
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
16 shares @ 4.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.02
$2.40
- YES
Will Steven Menashi be the next Supreme Court nominee?
9 shares @ 7.0¢·now 28.4¢·exp Jan 19, 2029$2.61
$1.97
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%?
45 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$2.49
$0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Sverdlovsk Oblast Parliament elections?$0.08Jul 29, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.66Jul 29, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$16.01Jul 29, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse Otzma Yehudit in the 2026 Israeli Election?$1.66Jul 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$1.64Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?$1.07Jul 28, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$1.08Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$0.68Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$0.68Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$0.24Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$0.82Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$0.64Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?$0.56Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?$1.09Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?$0.30Jul 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?$1.78Jul 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?$0.08Jul 28, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?$1.21Jul 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$1.78Jul 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 2.0%?$0.40Jul 28, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.