0x84b72babb1196f93213505f7e5b6bf36f834eeb5
0x84b72babb1196f93213505f7e5b6bf36f834eeb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$229.34
Total PnL
$-0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
44 shares @ 69.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$34.21
$3.73
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
14 shares @ 75.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.27
$-0.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 60.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.91
$2.91
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
9 shares @ 32.1¢·now 83.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.84
$4.84
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.02
$1.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6 shares @ 78.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.06
$1.26
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.35
$1.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 16?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.72
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 15?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.70
$0.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?
4 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.66
$0.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?$2.08Jun 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 20?$2.09Jun 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?$2.34Jun 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 19?$2.02Jun 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 19?$2.22Jun 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 19?$2.26Jun 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 19?$2.70Jun 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?$3.03Jun 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?$2.09Jun 17, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?$2.19Jun 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?$2.16Jun 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?$2.04Jun 17, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?$2.70Jun 17, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?$2.11Jun 16, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 18?$2.19Jun 16, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?$2.39Jun 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?$2.08Jun 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?$2.08Jun 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?$2.10Jun 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?$2.09Jun 16, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.