Major-Omnivore
0x84ca0e90cfd2e917d2c1adde00a983f474cf123d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$280.17
Total PnL
$-134.15
Realised
$20.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
556 shares @ 54.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.89
$-136.11
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$116.28
$16.28
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
44 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?$2.04Jul 6, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?$2.05Jul 6, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$4.06Jun 22, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$2.04Jun 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$12.28Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$20.53Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.22Jun 5, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 29, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$220.33May 29, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$215.03May 26, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$106.34May 26, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$300.00May 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$100.00May 19, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$100.33May 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$169.25May 19, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$40.96May 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$213.76May 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 4, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 4, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $115.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.