Calm-Patina
0x84d38c6bc0b6a214f4bef329023b404722513dd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$11.3K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23065 shares @ 53.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.5K
$-1.8K
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1049 shares @ 63.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$582.21
$-88.33
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
173 shares @ 57.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$104.66
$4.66
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 61.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.85
$10.15
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1212 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.17
$-21.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
8748 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-239.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
8515 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-851.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
4743 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-279.67
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
3763 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-468.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
1781 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-559.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Jun 4, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$106.46Jun 4, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$106.15Jun 4, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$105.46Jun 4, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$105.25Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$104.90Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$104.76Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$104.05Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$104.36Jun 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$103.31Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$92.61Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$103.85Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$25.82Jun 4, 07:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.96Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.98Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.18Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.18May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.18May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.20May 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $313.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".