Pleasant-Vise
0x85074d5a3f5c968b046174c0bf3db44d37e57f61
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$812.10
Total PnL
$91.63
Realised
$-11.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
606 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.13
$73.33
- NO
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
248 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.85
$25.05
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
17 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$17.00
$4.42
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.13
$-0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?$1.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 26?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be less than 75k?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 70% by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 12, 11PM ET$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$206.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMJohn Brennan federally charged by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMMississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMLevante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NEC vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?$0.00Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$210.80Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$66.15Apr 21, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$103.95Apr 14, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $255.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.