0x8512d9bccaa88274b08bebb412662a5cd2b61a76
0x8512d9bccaa88274b08bebb412662a5cd2b61a76
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$452.90
Total PnL
$-597.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
606 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$99.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1163 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.28
$-8.72
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
943 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.04
$-8.96
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
359 shares @ 69.5¢·now 19.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.99
$-179.01
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?
1189 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?
907 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$487.36Jun 12, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$101.37Jun 12, 09:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.18Jun 11, 21:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.24Jun 10, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.00Jun 10, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$535.71Apr 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$300.00Mar 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$300.00Mar 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$250.00Mar 9, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.1KMar 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$500.00Mar 2, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1.3KMar 1, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$429.00Jan 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$459.00Jan 7, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $269.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.