Torn-Curtailment
0x8518b6182e6fbb920334136d8218ecf134dec84a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$708.66
Total PnL
$-58.91
Realised
$-33.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
6591 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$135.11
$-9.88
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
1231 shares @ 8.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$129.23
$20.00
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1141 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$62.77
$-17.12
- YES
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.17
$4.17
- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.17
$4.17
- YES
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$54.17
$4.17
- YES
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
6250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$46.88
$-3.13
- YES
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
7143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$46.43
$-3.56
- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$45.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
6250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$40.63
$-9.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$82.86May 7, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$82.95May 7, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$77.17May 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$46.76May 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$43.88May 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.99May 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.98May 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$51.98May 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$103.91May 7, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$207.28May 7, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $70.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".