Upset-Halfbrother
0x85570fbfc954b1da5fea3f31bac0450f168e66f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$265.50
Total PnL
$-923.96
Realised
$39.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$265.50
$-4.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1670 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-25.43
- WIZARDS
Spread: Wizards (-4.5)
200 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-198.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Nuggets
150 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- KINGS
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- KINGS
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
92 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- PISTONS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$80.81Jun 3, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.01Jun 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.01Jun 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.01Jun 3, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$20.01Jun 3, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$86.56Jun 1, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.04Jun 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.11Jun 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.13Jun 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$20.14Jun 1, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$270.81Jun 1, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$40.40Jun 1, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$20.01Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$20.01Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?$7.19May 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$22.39May 30, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$25.31May 29, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$76.30May 29, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.04May 29, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$10.05May 29, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $29.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 04:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".