Faraway-Survival
0x8564848285e54c65f6cc2e3930b49362fbd84b2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$375.99
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-872.95
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
812 shares @ 53.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$369.46
$-60.80
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1088 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.53
$-473.94
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
7131 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
6628 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-353.72
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
4932 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-33.98
- YES
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
4546 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-35.62
- NO
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
4381 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-567.94
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
4135 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-31.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Real Me" - Future first week album sales be greater than 175k?$209.36Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Real Me" - Future first week album sales be greater than 175k?$85.85Jul 9, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Rodrigo have 4 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$50.52Jun 23, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$168.36Jun 23, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$100.00Jun 20, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?$6.3KJun 20, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo have 4 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$23.12Jun 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo have 4 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$4.25Jun 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$20.09Jun 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?$60.44Jun 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.0KJun 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$908.72Jun 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.29Jun 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.71Jun 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.2KJun 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$65.87Jun 5, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$100.45May 30, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.9KMay 30, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$114.60May 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$560.00May 28, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $196.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.