Frosty-Leaf
0x856f3b361a1ac0a61d6e886b703042a96c91d64d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$4.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
545 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$524.46
$11.98
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: June
333 shares @ 89.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$311.36
$12.33
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
185 shares @ 92.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.83
$-1.04
- NO
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?
171 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$164.33
$3.26
- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
2556 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
2200 shares @ 82.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
1714 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
1136 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
179 shares @ 91.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-163.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$121.03Jun 12, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$51.04Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$178.00Jun 10, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$18.00Jun 10, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$73.92Jun 10, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$18.50Jun 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$78.45Jun 10, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$83.60Jun 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$46.61Jun 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?$161.08Jun 9, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$401.28Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.1KJun 9, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$914.66Jun 1, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$916.42Jun 1, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$73.00May 28, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?$69.21May 27, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?$66.88May 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?$70.71May 26, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$169.14May 26, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $316.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.