Heavy-Twig
0x8588dcd2a9c8f03d02bb8a78243fa03fef0e76ae
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$255.64
Total PnL
$169.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.90
$179.90
- NO
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
40 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.20
$-0.60
- OVER 5.5
NHL Playoffs: Sabres vs. Canadiens Total Games O/U 5.5
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$12.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.95
$0.15
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
639 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.94
$2.56
- DUCKS
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$26.423h ago
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$10.223h ago
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$10.273h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$57.725h ago
- YIELD$0.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.1314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$8.5114h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Sabres vs. Canadiens Total Games O/U 5.5$14.002d ago
- TRADESELLCanadiens vs. Sabres$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$5.322d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.932d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$13.072d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$15.252d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$0.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$0.633d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$0.593d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$2.983d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?$10.363d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
