Dependable-Hesitation
0x858d4cb627add2c302e8a1c821840b5cf3232682
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 17?
358 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 17?
320 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 17?
306 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 18?
154 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 18?
129 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?
82 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.52
- YES
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
49 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.44
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
35 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
18 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.24May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.91May 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.17May 14, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$1.26May 14, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.27May 14, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.70May 14, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.99Apr 25, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.86Apr 25, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$2.11Apr 25, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.69Apr 25, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$7.55Apr 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$0.29Apr 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$9.10Apr 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$0.06Apr 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$2.17Apr 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.88Apr 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.97Apr 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$9.52Apr 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$2.21Apr 17, 16:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".