Blond-Boss
0x859d077ae3232fdecce2510dbcd1764cb51afccb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-703.90
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
3765 shares @ 20.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$658.88
$-106.17
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
400 shares @ 37.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.00
$-42.00
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
6181 shares @ 13.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.81
$-720.39
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$66.00
$-42.00
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
781 shares @ 14.7¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.47
$-84.54
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
2092 shares @ 16.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.16
$-313.03
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
2456 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.51
$-174.44
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2862 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.02
$-61.54
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?
797 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.57
$-164.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$46.38Jun 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$25.58Jun 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$88.50Jun 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$11.70Jun 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$30.00Jun 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$470.15Jun 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$70.55Jun 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$154.98Jun 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$43.00Jun 10, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$6.57Jun 8, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$6.77Jun 8, 06:24 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Jun 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$74.22Jun 6, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$11.03Jun 6, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$10.36Jun 6, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$54.63Jun 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$51.50Jun 6, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$15.70Jun 6, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$14.82Jun 6, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$118.00Jun 5, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $81.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.