Rough-Bait
0x86043ba0b5d4cd3e11289e4a40bb403ab16dcb8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$129.14
Total PnL
$-379.74
Realised
$-13.01
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
174 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
180 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$28.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 6.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.62
$6.62
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
198 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.91
$-1.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
191 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.99
$-2.01
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
173 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.84
$-1.42
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$-7.47
- YES
Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.25
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-19.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$0.60Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$0.80Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner$1.50Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.30Jun 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.31Jun 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.09Jun 13, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$0.70Jun 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.60Jun 13, 13:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$0.78Jun 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$8.75Jun 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$1.25Jun 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner$4.10Jun 11, 14:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Poland?$30.04Jun 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Poland?$30.00Jun 9, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$10.00Jun 9, 20:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.