Flickering-Stew
0x863a5b8f6b766a2b42d4af1ee7d9990654086ffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-806.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
1084 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-551.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 2?
760 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- UNDER
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
380 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-193.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
250 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
18 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5$41.41Apr 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5$155.28Apr 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$560.48Mar 18, 20:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$365.31Mar 10, 13:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Mar 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.00Mar 8, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$45.00Mar 8, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$137.66Mar 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$32.88Mar 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 19:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 8, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$365.72Mar 7, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12.90Mar 5, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?$350.35Mar 5, 13:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?$350.00Mar 3, 23:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $183.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 07:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".