Cold-Helmet
0x864796112505fa75ef02f302759c3211629bd870
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$141.81
Realised
$296.96
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 71.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$580.00
$12.00
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$230.99
$-24.00
- YES
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 20.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$156.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
275 shares @ 40.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$138.88
$27.63
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$112.50
$30.50
- YES
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$95.70
$16.70
- NO
Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
150 shares @ 24.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$92.25
$56.25
- YES
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$75.50
$35.50
- YES
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$66.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3272 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$63.80
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.00Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.04Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.96Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00Jun 14, 05:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.55Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$6.20Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$412.50Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.16Jun 13, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$20.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5$39.99Jun 13, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$10.94Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.65Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$1.80Jun 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.00Jun 13, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 13, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.26Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.95Jun 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$3.24Jun 12, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $21.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.