Piercing-Surgery
0x864d713fa42fd2ac52292a3f8c6bd501f1e7974c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$16.78
Total PnL
$-10.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$6.00
$3.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
47 shares @ 10.7¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-2.08
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.24
$0.24
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TSA" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$0.00Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TSA" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$4.08Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TSA" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?$2.00Mar 25, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 25?$3.46Mar 25, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.00Mar 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 25, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $160?$1.00Mar 25, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at >$164 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$2.00Mar 25, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March?$1.00Mar 25, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.00Mar 25, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$1.00Mar 25, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 25?$2.00Mar 25, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026?$3.00Mar 25, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$1.00Mar 25, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.00Mar 25, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00Mar 25, 04:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".