Forthright-Regulator
0x86594264072ef46a693953adbdde01cc4e2d797d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$31.6K
Total PnL
$444.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
33593 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$31.1K
$423.81
- NO
Will Sergio Busquets win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
206 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$204.83
$4.83
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.89
$3.89
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.72
$2.72
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$51.63
$1.63
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.61
$-2.39
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 62.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.89
$5.89
- NO
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
21 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.78
$0.78
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.88
$4.88
- NO
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.40
$0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$50.20Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.05Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$21.14Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?$49.63Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.3KMay 31, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.69May 31, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $910.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.