Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$11.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1577.3h
- 06:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1577h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 2¢-1.7pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢-1.9pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $432.7K
- 89¢+5.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $421.5K
- 48¢+3.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $398.9K
- 38¢+2.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Other · Vol $340.6K
- 16¢0.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Other · Vol $260.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Bill Gates between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).