Infamous-Observatory
0x8669df2c384b66e2950db3af5870ae0ffc467111
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$81.04
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-66.95
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
118 shares @ 43.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.95
$11.21
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.3¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$15.46
$0.46
- NO
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$2.94
$1.89
- YES
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.65
$-3.10
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
13 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.08
- SOUTH CAROLINA STATE BULLDOGS
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
943 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-829.84
- NO
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?
589 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-223.82
- CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers
465 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-47.43
- NO
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?
454 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.88
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
247 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-143.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.22Apr 21, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips$330.50Apr 13, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$583.00Apr 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliers$47.43Mar 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)$829.84Mar 12, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?$180.09Mar 11, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Easter" in March?$288.96Mar 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$112.84Mar 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$3.12Mar 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$291.84Mar 10, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?$174.87Mar 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$291.84Mar 6, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5$31.20Mar 6, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Easter" in March?$123.41Mar 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 - March 15 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?$49.06Mar 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?$205.18Feb 27, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?$34.98Feb 27, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 1)$53.59Feb 27, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips$396.60Feb 27, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?$38.16Feb 27, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $139.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.