Imperfect-Assurance
0x869d3fe29372e4a1816a6b904fc796189d244f74
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$675.62
Total PnL
$-0.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
357 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$355.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
151 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$150.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
135 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$135.07
$0.07
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
35 shares @ 97.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$34.12
$0.12
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 October 20-26?
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$356.0722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$150.0322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$135.0122h ago
- TRADESELL100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$40.5922h ago
- REDEEMWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$70.7822h ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?$127.0422h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$210.2022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$210.0018d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$150.0018d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$240.9218d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$42.8337d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$15.0238d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$90.6538d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$240.0038d ago
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?$40.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike India by April 30, 2026?$125.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$70.0038d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$34.0038d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$108.3238d ago
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$183.7338d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $164.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 155d ago
- Last active
- 22h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
