Sorrowful-Hint
0x86a6bcd9a1d302ef258475cf66e50f8e62e01b3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$-2.2K
Win rate
25%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3103 shares @ 28.6¢·now 31.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$974.39
$86.85
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1800 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$299.70
$-0.90
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
583 shares @ 43.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.38
$40.45
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1061 shares @ 19.6¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$248.81
$40.56
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$223.50
$-31.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1417 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$162.30
$4.96
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1843 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$144.65
$-19.35
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1400 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$135.10
$-0.70
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2667 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$132.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2442 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$125.78
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64.33Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.25Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$139.48Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.11Jun 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$198.00Jun 14, 07:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$262.21Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$4.99Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.40Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$38.87Jun 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$332.03Jun 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$106.40Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$39.64Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$1.90Jun 13, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$164.26Jun 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$164.56Jun 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$108.46Jun 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$127.55Jun 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?$158.98Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?$20.00Jun 13, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $131.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.