Hollow-Lacquerware
0x86fec61d3df9a9f92252751a7962cdc9d4d44ffe
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$37.86
Total PnL
$-403.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
61 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
37 shares @ 26.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.85
$3.16
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
136 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.48
$-1.02
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
85 shares @ 11.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.43
$-6.57
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
32457 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-142.22
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
11335 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-42.99
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
8936 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-24.98
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
5331 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.35
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1732 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$5.02May 31, 21:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$14.00May 28, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$9.50May 25, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$10.00May 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?$9.98May 19, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?$5.06May 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$9.89May 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$30.11Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?$1.00Mar 22, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?$2.00Mar 22, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.00Mar 20, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$408.12Mar 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$19.96Mar 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.95Feb 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.98Feb 28, 21:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $11.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".