Subtle-Library
0x871a1ab40c20199e2e8fbf705193f03e9eb71451
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-16.83
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
51500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-108.36
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
500 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-52.09
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 11?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
400 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 17?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 16?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 18?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?
370 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-26.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLabour leadership election scheduled by March 31?$3.46Jan 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$33.92Jan 11, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$740.62Jan 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$404.23Jan 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$4.00Jan 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$3.43Jan 11, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMEnhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?$100.00Jan 4, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 29?$500.00Dec 31, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?$19.99Dec 25, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?$20.00Dec 22, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?$20.00Dec 21, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$28.10Dec 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$28.90Dec 18, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?$9.92Dec 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?$1.27Dec 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?$12.40Dec 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?$11.60Dec 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?$2.00Dec 18, 02:38 UTC
- REWARD$2.18Dec 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?$11.40Dec 17, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $72.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 07:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".