Naive-Absence
0x878dc388c58f3137ce2c9a6176506c4094691a9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-836.60
Realised
$3.1K
Win rate
63%
80 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
600 shares @ 62.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$600.00
$224.00
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$200.00
$9.60
- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$97.75
$8.25
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$87.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
80 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.94
$4.93
- NO
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$73.50
$3.50
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$47.80
$13.80
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
51 shares @ 85.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.21
$3.82
- YES
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?
47 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$47.13
$1.37
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$46.75
$1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 80 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.