Naive-Absence
0x878dc388c58f3137ce2c9a6176506c4094691a9b
Quality score
77/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
55%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
600 shares @ 62.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$597.60
$221.60
- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$186.30
$-4.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
664 shares @ 68.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$139.54
$-318.22
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
173 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$138.09
$0.00
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
435 shares @ 49.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.02
$-76.57
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$105.00
$13.00
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
104 shares @ 89.8¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.46
$7.12
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 39.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$85.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$83.50
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$4.5124m ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Shevchenko by April 30?$4.501h ago
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$29.892h ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$20.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?$0.092h ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$2.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$18.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.883h ago
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$70.003h ago
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?$3.604h ago
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.744h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$4.984h ago
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$27.664h ago
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.004h ago
- TRADESELLWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$3.275h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$59.006h ago
- TRADESELLWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$14.986h ago
- TRADESELLWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$5.136h ago
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?$2.406h ago
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$59.506h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $34.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 24m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.