Tiny-Club
0x87a03d317877070c6e7d6b3a353038acbc6bd806
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$221.82
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-19.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
57 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$57.09
$2.09
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
192 shares @ 20.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$55.80
$15.80
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.47
$2.47
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.26
$2.26
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
28 shares @ 70.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$14.84
$-5.16
- YES
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.57
$-10.43
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.33
$-10.67
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
45 shares @ 44.5¢·now 17.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.93
$-12.07
- YES
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 27.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.85
$-8.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$47.62Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$55.00Jul 9, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$10.00Jul 9, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$30.69Jun 6, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$21.12Jun 6, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Jun 6, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$10.00Jun 3, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMCanada recession before 2027?$248.35May 29, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$30.33May 29, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$221.46May 29, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.86May 24, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$11.00May 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$10.00May 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$202.66May 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$20.00May 13, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$6.23Apr 29, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?$0.00Apr 24, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%?$0.00Apr 24, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?$0.00Apr 24, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$10.00Apr 23, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $45.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.