Daring-Hermit
0x87a27b8c5f85df92507af16ba2cef2c6638faf52
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$49.39
Realised
$-319.12
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$550.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.3K
$270.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$755.00
$45.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
1000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$655.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3650 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$187.97
$-8.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
232 shares @ 40.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.04
$66.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
273 shares @ 51.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.58
$16.35
- YES
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
211 shares @ 64.5¢·now 68.8¢·exp May 27, 2026$145.47
$9.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1325 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.29
$-0.66
- YES
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer
179 shares @ 55.9¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$91.26
$-8.74
Recent activity
- REDEEMOllie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer$0.0013h ago
- YIELD$0.0214h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$8.3122h ago
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$54.7023h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$130.9223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$62.371d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.151d ago
- TRADEBUYOllie Watkins: Anytime Goalscorer$50.931d ago
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer$101.321d ago
- YIELD$0.022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$710.002d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$630.002d ago
- YIELD$0.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$68.813d ago
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$224.303d ago
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$420.713d ago
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$176.003d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.0K3d ago
- YIELD$0.034d ago
- YIELD$0.035d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $81.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".