Worrisome-Dime
0x88224edef932367b1605dd8bfc3725382afeb769
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-231.11
Realised
$22.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
2536 shares @ 59.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$1.5K
$24.22
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
310 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.87
$-20.13
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$66.05
$1.05
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.50
$-7.50
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
62 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.25
$-3.45
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
43 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-1.39
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
1647 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
1056 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-27.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?$1.61Jul 28, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?$1.56Jul 28, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?$1.67Jul 27, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$58.00Jul 27, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 26?$1.56Jul 26, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$1.85Jul 26, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?$1.69Jul 26, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?$1.89Jul 26, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?$1.02Jul 26, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 27?$1.02Jul 26, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 27?$1.03Jul 26, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?$1.02Jul 26, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$1.03Jul 26, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 26?$1.02Jul 25, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 23?$1.82Jul 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$101.60Jul 23, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $21.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.