Vigorous-Attraction-Coke
0x883070dd3343ec34cf3a946c85b8db6d8e97698f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-59.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?
2915 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- YES
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?
119 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
34 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
22 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.01May 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.26May 12, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.05May 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.15May 12, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.10May 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.30May 12, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$9.72May 11, 08:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.25May 10, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$2.03May 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?$2.05May 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.02May 9, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.30May 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$9.43May 9, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.34May 9, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?$2.08May 8, 05:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00May 8, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.07May 8, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 8, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$6.24May 8, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 18:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.