Yellow-Warmth
0x8859b37cba475184ca073febac74c15c89bf22c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$181.13
Realised
$3.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
492 shares @ 77.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$479.00
$98.97
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
375 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.66
$173.66
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.00
$-67.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
50 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$47.17
$0.13
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?
217 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.22
$-1.03
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
20 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.10
$0.10
- OVER
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
50 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$12.75Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$8.03Jun 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$12.00Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$47.05Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$10.51Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$11.99Jun 12, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$35.26Jun 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$36.80Jun 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$34.40Jun 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.80Jun 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.94Jun 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$27.80Jun 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$166.00Jun 8, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$198.59Jun 8, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$200.00Jun 8, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$112.47Jun 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$99.00Jun 6, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$99.00Jun 6, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.11Jun 6, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$81.42Jun 6, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $69.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.