Amused-Watercress
0x88e32b106f02fcd7a204e388f830ba290659384e
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$23.6K
Total PnL
$718.25
Realised
$903.99
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
15600 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.9K
$1.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
6700 shares @ 66.1¢·now 75.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.1K
$631.33
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
32704 shares @ 17.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.4K
$-1.4K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
1470 shares @ 62.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$948.15
$26.95
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
338 shares @ 50.9¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.65
$13.83
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$145.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
2903 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-177.70
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
988 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-108.66
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
625 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$194.13Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$10.80Jun 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$184.99Jun 14, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$7.51Jun 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$92.11Jun 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$65.82Jun 14, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$36.84Jun 14, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$101.38Jun 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$72.42Jun 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$40.98Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?$61.74Jun 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5$74.05Jun 14, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$186.03Jun 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$99.05Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$98.75Jun 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$81.91Jun 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$82.00Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5$81.80Jun 13, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$82.00Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 25, 11:00 UTC → May 25, 10:58 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$10.1K@91¢May 25, 10:58 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.1K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
$10.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $114.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.