Amused-Watercress
0x88e32b106f02fcd7a204e388f830ba290659384e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$13.2K
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$-452.61
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
31777 shares @ 58.3¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.6K
$-6.0K
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1276 shares @ 39.2¢·now 53.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$680.48
$180.49
- YES
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
47 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$-0.47
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$-0.66
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Netanyahu out by July 31?
617 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.31
$-87.23
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
40010 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.5K
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-480.96
- NO
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
2944 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
2903 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-177.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.12Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.21Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.23Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.20Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.17Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.03Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.96Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
$10.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $78.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.