Neat-Tip
0x890d33f9c1620806a98341c243f782fa63b215ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$11.0K
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
4459 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.3K
$45.97
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$1.1K
$710.00
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
1106 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.1K
$21.02
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$809.99
$409.99
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1833 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$779.13
$-9.17
- NO
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$491.25
$8.10
- NO
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?
440 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$421.96
$16.76
- NO
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$268.50
$13.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by August 31, 2026?
281 shares @ 87.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$259.92
$14.52
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
300 shares @ 81.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.50
$-7.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$2.16Aug 11, 01:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$26.70Aug 11, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.93Aug 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$151.81Aug 10, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$82.78Aug 10, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$75.44Aug 10, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$17.03Aug 10, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$27.48Aug 10, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$18.90Aug 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$20.90Aug 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.98Aug 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.00Aug 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$215.00Aug 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$86.00Aug 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.82Aug 10, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.75Aug 10, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$73.51Aug 10, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran invades Kuwait by August 31?$92.57Aug 10, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$5.44Aug 10, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $34.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.