0x8919ca9d323fd637b78817933c717fd1af732c81
0x8919ca9d323fd637b78817933c717fd1af732c81
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$41.05
Total PnL
$-20.93
Realised
$12.31
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.00
$3.92
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
13 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$13.15
$0.17
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
7 shares @ 31.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.70
$4.57
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$1.99
- YES
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
455 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.05
$-12.49
- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$1.31
$0.08
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
189 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
56 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-27.27
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$5.00Apr 26, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$0.20Apr 26, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$7.70Apr 24, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$2.58Apr 24, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.80Apr 23, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.32Apr 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.90Apr 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.48Apr 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$5.76Apr 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.21Apr 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.00Apr 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.00Apr 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.00Apr 21, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.00Apr 21, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$4.89Apr 21, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$5.54Apr 19, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.44Apr 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$7.76Apr 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$0.38Apr 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?$3.00Apr 18, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.