Palatable-Repair
0x891a5a2e19b8fcaacac5ecfa1c5f6c82b72975ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$75.71
Total PnL
$-497.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
1993 shares @ 24.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$31.88
$-451.11
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.39
$1.39
- NO
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.25
$1.25
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.02
$0.02
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.54
$-2.46
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.63
$-6.37
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?
43 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
31 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?$101.65Jun 24, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?$100.08Jun 24, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?$16.67Jun 23, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?$5.22Jun 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?$10.20Jun 21, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$25.14Jun 15, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$101.53Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$54.35Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12?$100.08Jun 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?$5.00Jun 9, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$5.00Jun 9, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?$101.00Jun 9, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?$100.05Jun 8, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?$100.10Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?$100.00May 31, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 28?$20.46May 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 28?$20.02May 28, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$101.29May 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?$100.06May 27, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?$0.00May 27, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $50.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 13:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.