Unknown-Integer
0x894706a7e06dd3ed9bb3596c64e4c90adb0df4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$21.3K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$436.72
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2100 shares @ 82.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$256.41
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
2000 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.9K
$73.42
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
1854 shares @ 88.1¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$148.65
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
1755 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.7K
$12.90
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
1400 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$51.54
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1459 shares @ 85.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$59.13
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
1126 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$2.96
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 72.2¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$994.50
$55.50
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 90.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$935.00
$33.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 70.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$785.00
$77.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$3.64Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$3.60Jul 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$0.61Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$5.22Jul 29, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$18.58Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$3.60Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2.57Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2.57Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$25.71Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2.57Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$2.57Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$0.72Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$5.33Jul 29, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$91.00Jul 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.11Jul 29, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.99Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.99Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.99Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.99Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$0.99Jul 29, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $87.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 19:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.