Unaware-Jackal
0x8964b58c08b784ecfe1d9344223692263d130bec
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$132.2K
Total PnL
$7.1K
Realised
$434.53
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
15506 shares @ 87.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.7K
$1.0K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
15013 shares @ 89.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.7K
$295.47
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
12256 shares @ 86.7¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.7K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
11936 shares @ 89.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.0K
$393.81
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
11135 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.5K
$198.95
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
10265 shares @ 86.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.9K
$35.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
8208 shares @ 83.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.2K
$316.74
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
6883 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$6.8K
$323.88
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5658 shares @ 87.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$472.65
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
4587 shares @ 88.6¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$206.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$6.92Jul 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?$38.40Jul 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$95.00Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?$10.17Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?$31.37Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC hit $100 by December 31?$278.75Jul 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$185.52Jul 28, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC hit $100 by December 31?$132.56Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?$54.55Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?$1.00Jul 28, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$11.48Jul 28, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$1.4KJul 28, 09:48 UTC
- YIELD$2.69Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$2.70Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.70Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$288.00Jul 25, 06:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jul 25, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.70Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$316.00Jul 24, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$19.22Jul 24, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $107.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.