Tall-Dragonfruit
0x899cb6ed3b50684bd188f7c17745479ed3aad868
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$47.26
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-8.80
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?
73 shares @ 9.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.52
$15.98
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
400 shares @ 18.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$-67.80
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 63.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.98
$1.81
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.99
$1.20
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.87
$-5.62
- NO
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$0.15
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.17
$0.17
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.29
- NO
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
73 shares @ 38.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.99
$-26.93
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
40 shares @ 41.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.68
$-15.92
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.66Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.50Jun 5, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$8.50Jun 5, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.40Jun 5, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.60Jun 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$2.00Jun 5, 07:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Jun 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$154.00Jun 4, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.16Jun 4, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$76.70Jun 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19.71Jun 4, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$57.09Jun 4, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?$3.00Jun 4, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.64Jun 4, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$34.00Jun 3, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$31.00Jun 2, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jun 2, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$199.50Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 2, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $42.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.