Lighthearted-Hall
0x89bacb9dc4f48c079ce57bd01e50098c8be4339f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.48
Total PnL
$-10.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$0.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.72
$0.07
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.84
$0.02
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.10
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.14
$-0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
10000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
9896 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
15 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.65Jun 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$4.96Jun 10, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$5.00Jun 10, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.82Jun 2, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?$4.99Jun 2, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$5.00Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$5.00May 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$4.67May 22, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.00May 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.15May 21, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.96May 16, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90May 14, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.77May 14, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$4.97May 14, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$5.0KOct 24, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$50.00Oct 15, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.5KOct 15, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.4KOct 15, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$199.60Sep 27, 16:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $356.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.