Lustrous-Unique
0x89e55b159991173a376937ea093b9903bbdf6f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$59.47
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
75 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.03
$0.75
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.05
$0.05
- YES
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 40.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.53
$-11.35
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.79
$0.21
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 32.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$-10.87
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $100M one day after launch?$30.53Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.28Jul 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$10.17Jul 23, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$46.32Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$34.23Jul 22, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.62Jul 22, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.04Jul 22, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$12.82Jul 21, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.21Jul 21, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$27.29Jul 20, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$20.38Jul 20, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.88Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.00Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.25Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.