0x8a40b65b21b7272d573edaa29386bb027c72fa6b
0x8a40b65b21b7272d573edaa29386bb027c72fa6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$102.03
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.26
$0.30
- NO
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
12 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$12.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 1?
12 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$12.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.07
$1.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
11 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$11.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 1?
8 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$8.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 1?
4 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$4.03
$0.04
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1655 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 1?$3.99Apr 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 1?$12.01Apr 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 1?$8.01Apr 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 1?$5.00Apr 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$11.01Apr 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$12.01Apr 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.44Apr 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$11.03Apr 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.00Apr 30, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$18.96Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.72Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.79Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 14°C on March 26?$8.88Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$8.88Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 26?$9.99Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 26?$11.00Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$12.34Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15.55Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$18.50Apr 30, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 26?$9.87Mar 26, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.