Creative-Dump
0x8a5a84bc45c5b30a03eb4ca9e20687eadeb397ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$43.41
Total PnL
$-360.35
Realised
$19.85
Win rate
78%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.08
$7.08
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 16.1¢·now 17.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.29
$0.29
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$2.13Jun 16, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.06Jun 16, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.05Jun 16, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.09Jun 16, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMSaudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 16, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.07Jun 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.52Jun 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.07Jun 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$1.02Jun 16, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$5.86Jun 16, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.12Jun 16, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIR Iran leading at halftime?$0.26Jun 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?$1.02Jun 16, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?$3.15Jun 16, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?$2.05Jun 16, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$2.36Jun 16, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$5.10Jun 16, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$1.25Jun 16, 01:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.