Villainous-Lifestyle
0x8a782f05e79a899de8e986a7a497e724279e4898
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
109
Open notional
$128.39
Total PnL
$-87.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.41
$-0.38
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.40
$0.40
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.75
$0.05
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.85
$-0.55
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit $3.25 (Low) by July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit $2.50 (Low) by July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit $3.00 (Low) by July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 250-259 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$1.00Jul 22, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.01Jul 22, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.02Jul 22, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.00Jul 22, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethiopian Citizens for Social Justice (EZEMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.01Jul 22, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the National Movement of Amhara (NaMA) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?$1.00Jul 22, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.00Jul 22, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 17, 2026?$1.03Jul 22, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Flett win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.02Jul 22, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?$1.02Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?$1.03Jul 21, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 17, 2026?$1.01Jul 21, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEM0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$1.04Jul 21, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit $3.50 (Low) by July 31?$1.00Jul 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$1.00Jul 21, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$1.00Jul 20, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Yemen by July 14?$1.01Jul 20, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.