Indelible-Pinafore
0x8aaef5dd79e229a5f85b122354354d7928a97bcf
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$74.91
Total PnL
$-55.12
Realised
$-38.02
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
272 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.98
$-1.02
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
354 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.44
$-0.57
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
217 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 8, 2026$3.75
$1.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 8, 2026$2.71
$0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.003h ago
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$1.053h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$10.313h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.103h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.393h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.653h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".