Untrue-Steward
0x8ae4f8554b89f23537a8fab3d458f29aed22a809
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$40.50
Total PnL
$-9.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Serbia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$24.50
$-0.25
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
16 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$16.00
$0.16
- NO
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 56% and 58%?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$24.76May 15, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$21.77May 9, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$21.58May 8, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$17.00May 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$18.84May 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$18.46May 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$16.84May 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$15.85Apr 29, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$22.99Apr 27, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$22.77Apr 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$19.96Apr 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$19.78Apr 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$19.80Apr 16, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$19.54Apr 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$14.88Apr 13, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$14.67Apr 13, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14m and $15m?$19.89Apr 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?$16.83Apr 9, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?$16.49Apr 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $14m and $15m?$19.42Apr 5, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".