Square-Comb
0x8b085f13f63950b8f0b1c56be8985ea75ab624a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$59.57
Total PnL
$-189.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
427 shares @ 26.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.89
$-84.38
- YES
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
335 shares @ 14.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.48
$-18.92
- NO
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?
1 shares @ 19.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$1.20
$0.96
- YES
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
150 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.01
- NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
49 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.84
- YES
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
35 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.85
- YES
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.50Jun 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$5.20Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.65Jun 3, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$5.86Jun 3, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.50Jun 3, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman testify against Musk?$0.16May 18, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$10.00May 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.03May 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$2.60May 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman testify against Musk?$0.13May 1, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.40May 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $0.32May 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $0.71May 1, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $2.54May 1, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$5.10May 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.64May 1, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$3.29May 1, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.64May 1, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$20.00May 1, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.20Apr 30, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.